12th Seminar Papers

Keynote Presentations

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Accepted Papers

Best Paper

Performance Measurement and Management
  • Open source software and crowd sourced data for operational performance analysis

    Author: Rainer Koelle (EUROCONTROL)  
  • A Comparative Analysis of Models for Predicting Delays in Air Traffic Networks

    Authors: Karthik Gopalakrishnan, Hamsa Balakrishnan (MIT)  
  • Predicting Performance of Ground Delay Programs

    Authors: Alexander Estes, Michael Ball, David Lovell (University of Maryland)  
  • Causal Inference for ATM Counterfactual Estimation

    Author: Akhil Shah (RAND Corporation)  
  • Causal Analysis of En Route Flight Inefficiency – the US Experience

    Authors: Yulin Liu, Mark Hansen (University of California, Berkeley), David Lovell, Cara Chuang, Michael Ball (University of Maryland), John Gulding (FAA)  
Complexity and Big Data
  • A case study of non-linear dynamics of “human-flow” behavior in terminal airspace

    Authors: Lei Yang, Suwan Yin, Minghua Hu (NUAA), Yan Xu (Technical University of Catalonia)  
  • The Structure and Dynamics of the Multilayer Air Transport System

    Authors: Yanjun Wang, Xinhua Xu, Minghua Hu (Nanjing University of Aeronautics and Astronautics, Jianming Zhan (Air Traffic Management Bureau, Civil Aviation Administration of China)  
  • Modeling Aircraft Performance Parameters with Open ADS-B Data

    Authors: Junzi Sun, Joost Ellerbroek, Jacco Hoekstra (Delft University of Technology)  
  • Large-Scale ADS-B Data and Signal Quality Analysis

    Authors: Joost Ellerbroek, Ted Verbraak, Junzi Sun, Jacco Hoekstra (Delft University of Technology)  
  • Modeling Airspace Stability and Capacity for Decentralized Separation

    Authors: Emmanuel Sunil, Joost Ellerbroek, Jacco Hoekstra, Jerom Maas (Delft University of Technology)  
  • Self-Reorganized Supporting Tools for Conflict Resolution in High-Density Airspace Volumes

    Authors: Marko Radanovic, Miquel Angel Piera Eroles, Thimjo Koca (Universitat Autonoma de Barcelona), Francisco Javier Saez Nieto (Cranfield University)  
Integrated Airport/Airside Operations
  • Local and network impact assessment of Airport Collaborative Decision Making (A-CDM)

    Authors: Denis Huet (EUROCONTROL), Simon Pickup (Atlas Chase)  
  • Analysis of Saturation at the Airport-Airspace Integrated Operations

    Authors: Alvaro Rodriguez-Sanz, Fernando Gomez Comendador, Rosa Arnaldo Valdes (Technical University of Madrid), Jose Manuel Cordero Garcia and Lucia Meler Garcia (CRIDA)  
  • A novel machine learning model to predict abnormal Runway Occupancy Times and observe related precursors

    Authors: Floris Herrema (EUROCONTROL AND TUDelft), Vincent Treve, Bruno Desart (EUROCONTROL), Ricky Curran, Dries Visser (TUDelft)  
  • What to say when: Guidelines to Decision Making

    Authors: Anne Papenfuss, Nils Carstengerdes, Sebastian Schier, Yves Günther (DLR)  
  • Aircraft Boarding – Data, Validation, Analysis

    Author: Michael Schultz (DLR e.V.)  
Human Factors
  • Read Back Error Detection using Automatic Speech Recognition

    Authors: Hunter Kopald, Shuo Chen, Ronald Chong, Yuan-Jun Wei and Zachary Levonian (MITRE)  
  • Increasing ATM Efficiency with Assistant Based Speech Recognition

    Authors: Hartmut Helmke, Oliver Ohneiser (German Aerospace Center, DLR), Jörg Buxbaum (DFS Deutsche Flugsicherung GmbH), Christian Kern (Austro Control GmbH)  
  • Analysis of work patterns as a foundation for human-automation communication in multiple remote towers

    Authors: Åsa Svensson, Camilla Forsell, Jimmy Johansson, Jonas Lundberg (Linköping University)  
  • Learning Air Traffic Controller Workload from Past Sector Operations

    Author: David Gianazza (ENAC)  
  • Assessment of Air Traffic Controller Acceptability of Aircrew Route Change Requests

    Authors: Husni Idris (NASA Ames), Kelly Burke, David Wing (NASA Langley), Gabriele Enea (Engility Corporation)  
  • Effectiveness of the application of the Human Performance Assessment Process in SESAR 1

    Authors: Sonja Biede (Airbus), Renee Pelchen-Medwed (EUROCONTROL)  
Terminal Area Operations
  • Analysis on the Impact of Pop-Up Flight Occurrence when Extending the Arrival Management Horizon

    Authors: Alexander Vanwelsenaere, Joost Ellerbroek, Jacco M. Hoekstra (Delft University of Technology), Evert Westerveld (Air Traffic Control the Netherlands)  
  • Measuring Performance of Initial Ground-based Interval Management - Spacing (GIM-S) Operations

    Authors: Brock Lascara, Lesley Weitz, Thomas Monson (MITRE), Robert Mount (FAA)  
  • Analysis of the Use of Estimated Time of Arrival Broadcast for Interval Management

    Authors: Stephanie Priess, Lesley Weitz, Stuart Bowman (MITRE), Ian Levitt (FAA)  
  • Design Considerations of Vertically-Constrained PBN Procedures for Trajectory Management

    Authors: Jesper Bronsvoort (Airservices Australia), Greg McDonald (Independent), Jean Boucquey (EUROCONTROL), Sergio Torres (Leidos), Joachim Hochwarth (GE Aviation), Mike Paglione, Christina Young (FAA)  
  • Toward the characterisation of sequencing arrivals

    Authors: Raphael Christien, Eric Hoffman, Aymeric Trzmiel, Karim Zeghal (EUROCONTROL)  
Surveillance and Navigation
  • PBN Hybrid Procedures as an Enabler for Airport Accessibility in Challenging Terrain

    Author: Philipp Daniel Schaad (Austro Control)  
  • Using PBN for Terminal and Extended Terminal Operations

    Authors: Dijana Trenevska, David De Smedt, (EUROCONTROL), Geert Moek (Netherlands Aerospace Centre)  
Trajectory Prediction
  • Bayesian Inference of Aircraft Initial Mass

    Authors: Junzi Sun, Joost Ellerbroek, Jacco Hoekstra (Delft University of Technology)  
  • Statistical Modeling of Aircraft Takeoff Weight

    Authors: Yashovardhan Sushil Chati, Hamsa Balakrishnan (MIT)  
  • A simple method to integrate Mode S Indicated Airspeed with Ground Based Trajectory Prediction

    Authors: Bram Vandermeersch, Jonathan Marmont (NATS)  
Network and Strategic Flow
  • A Novel MIP-based Airspace Sectorization for TMAs

    Authors: Christiane Schmidt, Tobias Andersson Granberg, Tatiana Polishchuk, Valentin Polishchuk (Linköping University)  
  • An optimization model for assigning 4D-trajectories to flights under the TBO concept

    Authors: Franklin Djeumou Fomeni, Konstantinos G. Zografos, Guglielmo Lulli (Lancaster University Management School)  
  • Including Linear Holding in Air Traffic Flow Management for Flexible Delay Handling

    Authors: Yan Xu, Xavier Prats (Technical University of Catalonia)  
  • A Distributed Air Traffic Flow Management Model for European Functional Airspace Blocks

    Authors: Sameer Alam (University of New South Wales), Supatcha Chaimatanan (Geo-informatics and Space Technology Development Agency), Daniel Delahaye (French Civil Aviation University), Eric Feron (Georgia Institute of Technology)  
  • Probabilistic Occupancy Counts and Flight Criticality Measures for ATM

    Authors: François Gonze, Andrea Simonetto, Etienne Huens, Raphaël M. Jungers (Université catholique de Louvain), Jean Boucquey (EUROCONTROL ATM/RDS/ATS)  
  • A Distributed Framework for Traffic Flow Management in the Presence of Unmanned Aircraft

    Authors: Hamsa Balakrishnan (MIT), Bala Chandran (Resilient Ops, Inc.)  
  • Evaluation of Integrated Demand Management looking into Strategic & Tactical Flow Management

    Authors: Christoph Moehlenbrink, Bonny Parke, Hyo-Sang Yoo, Connie Brasil, Nathan Buckley, Constantine Speridakos, Francisco Muro, Gita Hodell, Paul Lee and Nancy Smith  
  • Generating Diverse Reroutes for Tactical Constraint Avoidance

    Authors: Christine Taylor, Sheng Liu, Craig Wanke, Timothy Stewart (MITRE)  
  • A Constraint Programming Model with Time Uncertainty for Cooperative Flight Departures

    Authors: Juan Jose Ramos, Nina Schefers, Marko Radanovic, Miquel Angel Piera, (Universitat Autonoma de Barcelona), Pau Folch (ASLOGIC)  
  • Agent-based Formation Flight Coalition under Incomplete Information

    Authors: Linghang Meng, Yifei Zhao, Xiaohao Xu and Zengxian Geng (Civil Aviation University of China)  
  • Large Scale 3D En-Route Conflict Resolution

    Authors: Ruxin Wang, Cyril Allignol, Nicolas Durand, Alexandre Gondran, Nicolas Barnier (ENAC)  
  • Methods of Aircraft Re-categorizations for Reducing Wake Vortex Separations

    Authors: Zhiqiang Wei, Zhiyuan Li, Fei Liu, Wei Liu (CAUC)  
Safety and Resilience
  • A Bayesian Network Model of Pilot Response to TCAS Resolution Advisories

    Authors: Robert Moss, Edward Londner (MIT Lincoln Laboratory)  
  • Modeling the Intrinsic Safety of Unstructured and Layered Airspace Designs

    Authors: Martijn Tra, Emmanuel Sunil, Joost Ellerbroek, Jacco Hoekstra (Delft University of Technology)  
  • Topics and Trends in Incident Reports

    Author: Kenneth Kuhn (RAND Corporation)  
  • Vulnerability Metrics for the Airspace System

    Authors: Sandip Roy, Mengran Xue (Washington State University), Banavar Sridhar (Independent)  
  • Emergent Behaviour of Trajectory Based Operations Under Very High En-route Traffic Demand

    Authors: Henk Blom (NLR and TUDelft), Bert Bakker (NLR)  
  • A Quantitative Approach to Resilience Engineering for the Future ATM System: Case Studies Results

    Authors: Roberto Palumbo, Edoardo Filippone (CIRA – Italian Aerospace Research Center)  
Environment and Energy
  • Fuel Burn Estimation Modeling for ATM Benchmark Applications Perspectives from an International Collaboration

    Authors: Gabriele Enea (MITRE), Jesper Bronsvoort (Airservices Australia), Hartmut Fricke , Christian Seiß, Judith Rosenow, (TU Dresden), Almira Ramadani, Mike Paglione (FAA)  
  • Quantile Regression Based Estimation of Statistical Contingency Fuel

    Authors: Lei Kang, Mark Hansen (University of California, Berkeley)  
  • Have Descents really become more Efficient?

    Authors: Daniel Howell, Rob Dean (Regulus Group)  
  • Analytical Approach for Quantifying Noise from Advanced Operational Procedures

    Authors: Luke Jensen, Jacqueline Thomas, Callen Brooks, Morrisa Brenner, R. John Hansman (MIT)  
  • Impact of Multi-critica Optimized Trajectories on European Air Traffic Density, Efficiency and the Environment

    Authors: Judith Rosenow, Stanley Förster, Martin Lindner, Hartmut Fricke (Technische Universität Dresden)  
  • Operational Feasibility of Segmented Independent Parallel Approaches

    Authors: Tobias Finck, Bernd Korn, Ana Paz Gonçalves Martins, Tim Stelkens-Kobsch (DLR – Institute of Flight Guidance)  
  • Human-in-the-loop Performance Assessment of Optimized Descents with Time Constraints: Results from Full Motion Flight Simulation and a Flight Testing Campaign

    Authors: Xavier Prats, Ramon Dalmau (Technical University of Catalonia), Ronald Verhoeven, Frank Bussink (Netherlands Aerospace Center)  
  • Analyzing & Implementing Delayed Deceleration Approaches

    Authors: Tom Reynolds, Emily Clemons (MIT Lincoln Laboratory), John Hansman, Jacquie Thomas (MIT)  
Weather in ATM
  • Strategic planning of North Atlantic Oceanic air traffic based on a new wind-optimal route structure

    Authors: Imen Dhief, Nour Houda Dougui (ENSI), Daniel Delahaye (Ecole National D’Aviation Civile), Noureddine Hamdi (INSAT)  
  • Predicting & Quantifying Risk in Airport Capacity Profile Selection for Air Traffic Management

    Authors: James Jones, Richard Delaura, Margo Pawlak, Seth Troxel, Ngaire Underhill (MIT Lincoln Laboratory)  
  • Translating Convective Weather Forecasts into Strategic Traffic Management Decision Aids

    Authors: Michael Matthews, Mark Veillette, Joseph Venuti, Richard Delaura, James Kuchar (MIT)  
  • Modeling Ground Delay Program Incidence using Convective and Local Weather Information

    Authors: Yi Liu, Mark Hansen, Danqing Zhang, Yulin Liu, Alexey Pozdnukhov (MIT)  
  • A Path Planning Algorithm to Enable Well-Clear Low Altitude UAS Operation Beyond Visual Line of Sight

    Authors: Swee Balachandran (National Institute of Aerospace), Anthony Narkawicz, Cesar Munoz, Maria Consiglio (NASA)  
  • Assessing the Robustness of a UAS Detect & Avoid Algorithm

    Authors: Cyril Allignol, Nicolas Barnier, Nicolas Durand, Guido Manfredi (ENAC), Éric Blond (DSNA/DTI)  
  • Wind Efficient Path Planning and Reconfiguration of UAS in Future ATM

    Authors: Leopoldo Rodriguez, Fotios Balampanis, Jose A. Cobano, Ivan Maza, Anibal Ollero (University of Seville)  
  • Ensuring Interoperability between UAS Detect-and-Avoid and Manned Aircraft Collision Avoidance

    Authors: David Thipphavong, Andrew Cone (NASA), Seungman Lee (Crown Consulting, Inc.)  
  • Flight Test Evaluation of an Unmanned Aircraft System Traffic Management (UTM) Concept for Multiple Beyond-Visual-Line-of-Sight Operations

    Authors: Marcus Johnson, Jaewoo Jung, Joseph Rios, Joey Mercer, Thomas Prevot, Daniel Mulfinger, Parimal Kopardekar (NASA)  
Finance and Policy
  • Balancing Reliability, Efficiency and Equity in Airport Scheduling Interventions

    Authors: Alexandre Jacquillat (Carnegie Mellon University), Vikrant Vaze (Dartmouth College)  
  • A Game-Theoretic Modeling Approach to Air Traffic Forecasting

    Authors: Vikrant Vaze, Reed Harder (Dartmouth College)  
  • A Step Towards Remote Tower Center Deployment: Optimizing Staff Schedules

    Authors: Christiane Schmidt, Tatiana Polishchuk, Valentin Polishchuk, (Linköping University), Billy Josefsson (LFV)  
  • Minimizing the Cost of Delay for Airspace Users

    Authors: Stephen Kirby, Nadine Pilon (EUROCONTROL)  
  • Service Level Expectation Setting for Air Traffic Flow Management: Practical Challenges and Benefits Assessment

    Authors: Michael Ball, Prem Swaroop (University of Maryland), Cynthia Barnhart , Chiwei Yan (MIT), Mark Hansen, Lei Kang, Yi Liu (University of California , Berkeley), Vikrant Vaze (Dartmouth College)